VWAP Machine Learning Bands is an advanced indicator designed to enhance trading analysis by integrating VWAP with a machine learning-inspired adaptive smoothing approach. This tool helps traders identify trend-based support and resistance zones, predict potential price movements, and generate dynamic trade signals.
Key Features
Adaptive ML VWAP Calculation: Uses a dynamically adjusted SMA-based VWAP model with volatility sensitivity for improved trend analysis.
Forecasting Mechanism: The 'Forecast' parameter shifts the ML output forward, providing predictive insights into potential price movements.
Volatility-Based Band Adjustments: The 'Sigma' parameter fine-tunes the impact of volatility on ML smoothing, adapting to market conditions.
Multi-Tier Standard Deviation Bands: Includes two levels of bands to define potential breakout or mean-reversion zones.
Dynamic Trend-Based Colouring: The VWAP and ML lines change colour based on their relative positions, visually indicating bullish and bearish conditions.
Custom Signal Detection Modes: Allows traders to choose between signals from Band 1, Band 2, or both, for more tailored trade setups.
In the image below, you can see an example of the bands on higher timeframe showing good mean reversion signal opportunities, these tend to work better in ranging markets rather than strong trending ones.
How It Works
VWAP & ML Integration: The script computes VWAP and applies a machine learning-inspired adjustment using SMA smoothing and volatility-based adaptation.
Forecasting Impact: The 'Forecast' setting shifts the ML output forward in time, allowing for anticipatory trend analysis.
Volatility Scaling (Sigma): Adjusts the ML smoothing sensitivity based on market volatility, providing more responsive or stable trend lines.
Trend Confirmation via Colouring: The VWAP line dynamically switches colour depending on whether it is above or below the ML output.
Multi-Level Band Analysis: Two standard deviation-based bands provide a framework for identifying breakouts, trend reversals, or continuation patterns.
In the example below, we can see some of the most reliable signals where we have mean reversion signals from the band whilst the price is also pulling back into the VWAP, these signals have the additional confluence which can give you a higher probabilty move.
Alerts
Bullish Signal Band 1: Alerts when the price crosses above the lower ML Band 1.
Bearish Signal Band 1: Alerts when the price crosses below the upper ML Band 1.
Bullish Signal Band 2: Alerts when the price crosses above the lower ML Band 2.
Bearish Signal Band 2: Alerts when the price crosses below the upper ML Band 2.
Filtered Bullish Signal: Alerts when a bullish signal is triggered based on the selected signal detection mode.
Filtered Bearish Signal: Alerts when a bearish signal is triggered based on the selected signal detection mode.