Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator

i was unable to find an accurate enough indicator for debt to gdp ratio. the Fred indicator understates the number. so when you want the current mmmri, youll have to manually change the number for the Debt to gdp ratio in the settings of the indicator,(the multiplier). it also depends on where you get your debt/gdp ratio from. i use the debt clock website for total Debt to gdp ratio which they have currently at the time of writing at 141.88%. ill update it once a week or month to give it more accuracy over the long run.

เอกสารเผยแพร่:

i was unable to find an accurate enough indicator for debt to gdp ratio. the Fred indicator understates the number. so when you want the current mmmri, youll have to manually change the number for the Debt to gdp ratio in the settings of the indicator,(the multiplier). it also depends on where you get your debt/gdp ratio from. i use the debt clock website for total Debt to gdp ratio which they have currently at the time of writing at 141.88%. ill update it once a week or month to give it more accuracy over the long run.

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updated risk thresholds and extreme risk color

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added several colors and risk levels for a scenario in which interest rates spike of their own accord

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I shifted the threshold for each risk level up 5 to bring the threshold for extreme risk to 165.
thank you nobody special finance.

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updated the debt/gdp ratio to reflect the most recent reading of total debt to gdp from usdebtclock.org

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update to DEBT/DGP #

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updated debt/gdp#

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new Debt/gdp#

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updated det/gdp ratio

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updated debt/gdp #

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updated the name of one of the risk level to better show my thoughts on the situation if risk level ever gets that high anyway

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new debt gdp ratio

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added some risk levels and updated the debt to gdp ratio

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color change