Overview The Weighted SD Bands is a valuation and mean-reversion analysis tool that dynamically adjusts to price movements, helping traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions. Built on a Weighted Moving Average (WMA), this indicator plots Standard Deviation (SD) bands around price action, highlighting extremes and potential reversal zones.
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Key Features ✅ Adaptive Valuation Model – Uses weighted price action to determine key valuation zones. ✅ Mean Reversion Analysis – Identifies extended deviations from fair value to spot reversal opportunities. ✅ Multi-Tier SD Bands – Provides multiple deviation levels to assess varying degrees of price stretch. ✅ Dynamic Color Coding – Highlights areas of extreme overvaluation or undervaluation. ✅ Reversal Signals – Generates Buy/Sell signals when price crosses the outer bands.
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How It Works - A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) serves as the baseline (fair value). - Standard Deviation Bands expand dynamically based on historical volatility. - Extreme levels (±2 SD) signal potential trend exhaustion/reversal. - Buy signals appear when price crosses below the lower 2 SD band. - Sell signals appear when price crosses above the upper 2 SD band.
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Visual Representation 🔹 Gradient-filled bands help visualize price stretching beyond typical fluctuations. 🔹 Triangular markers indicate potential reversal points at extreme SD levels. 🔹 Background highlights mark high-risk valuation zones.
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Settings & Customization - Lookback Length (WMA): Adjust the moving average period to control sensitivity. (default: 20) - Source : Select the base source for the calculation. (default: close) - SD Length: Modify the standard deviation period to fine-tune band width. (default: 30) - Color Mode: Choose from multiple visualization themes.
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Who Should Use It? 📌 Mean-Reversion Traders – Spot high-probability reversal zones. 📌 Valuation-Based Investors – Identify fair value and extended price levels. 📌 Trend-Following Traders – Use SD bands to manage risk and spot potential pullbacks.
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Conclusion The Weighted SD Bands indicator is a powerful tool for valuation and mean-reversion trading, providing dynamic fair value zones, extreme-level signals, and customizable SD bands to refine market timing. Whether you're trading pullbacks, rebalancing positions, or spotting reversals, this model helps you stay ahead of market inefficiencies.
🔹 Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investing decisions