MA matrix for identification of bullish/bearish macro phases and strategy implementation through the definition of effective MA lengths.
Moving Averages, when conventionally employed in either single-line or dual-line configurations, come with inherent limitations that hinder their effectiveness in capturing the complexities of varying market conditions. In response to this challenge, blackOrb Phase utilizes a combination of quantitative and relational MA analysis techniques, providing users with a more comprehensive understanding of market trends and a granular derivation of price-dynamic phases by using the following features:
I. MA matrix to identify effective MA lengths for strategy implementation II. Stochastic coloring for trend tracking and macro phase identification III. Diverse MA options for enhanced analytical flexibility
Technical Methodology
I. MA Matrix to Identify Effective MA Lengths for Strategy Implementation
Central to the methodology is the ability to identify optimal MA lengths for effective strategy implementation. blackOrb Phase utilizes a matrix of multiple MAs, each characterized by unique parameters, to establish a relational grid structure. By systematically examining price data within predefined vertical segments, this matrix offers a linear multi-level modulation of historical price data, providing access to up to 500 prior data instances. This methodology enhances the analysis of both micro price dynamics shifts and bullish or bearish macro trend changes. It has been empirically validated that this approach can assist users to refine their analysis and adapt to varying market conditions*. Crossings of MA lines with different colors signify potential shifts in price dynamic phases. When green MA lines intersect red MA lines, it suggests a higher likelihood of a macro trend change (bullish or bearish market environment). Conversely, when green MA lines cross over orange MA lines, it indicates a lower probability of a macro trend change but still suggests a potential micro trend shift. This micro trend shift can be viewed as a subordinate price dynamic change within the broader macro trend.
*Source: Prof. Pätäri, Eero. "Performance of moving average trading strategies over varying stock market conditions." Applied Economics, vol. 46, no. 24, 2014, pp. 2851-2872.
II. Stochastic Coloring for Trend Tracking and Macro Phase Identification
To provide a comprehensive view, this indicator includes a stochastic tracking feature, displayed through an intuitive single-color system across the entire matrix grid. The color scheme transitions from red lines, indicating the beginning of bearish trend phases, to green lines, indicating the initiation of bullish trend phases and vice versa. The greater the number of lines with the same color, the stronger the trend. This tool enhances price trend monitoring, allowing traders not only to track their initiation and continuation but also to confirm trend culmination. By observing color shifts from red/green lines, traders can assess the sustainability and persistence of broader macro trends.
Note: Stochastic coloring aids in probability-based orientation and provides valuable insights for trading strategy implementation. It is most effective when used in conjunction with other analysis and risk management techniques.
III. Diverse MA Options for Enhanced Analytical Flexibility Users have the flexibility to choose from 14 different MA types (e.g. including ALMA, KAMA, T3, VWMA, TriMA and ZLEMA). This versatility allows for precise configurations tailored to specific market conditions. For example, among the array of these 14 MA alternatives, VWMA (Volume Weighted MA) stands out as a suitable implementation choice for integrating volume data. It goes beyond the scope of a simple moving average, considering both price and volume in its calculation, as shown in the following formula:
(C1 x V1 + C2 x V2 + ... + Cn x Vn) / (V1 + V2 + ... + Vn)
Alongside this variety of MA types, users can select from a range of OHLC combination options (open, high, low and close price data), further enhancing analytical flexibility.
Note: While these choices offer substantial flexibility, they also require a solid understanding of the various MA types and data combinations, making risk management essential.
Note on Usability blackOrb Phase can have synergies with blackOrb Price and blackOrb Zone as all three indicators combined can give a bigger picture for supporting comprehensive and multifaceted data-driven trading analysis. This tool was meticulously created to serve as an additional frame for the seamless integration of other more granular trading indicators. This indicator isn't intended for standalone trading application. Instead, it is serving as a supplementary tool for orientation within broader trading strategies. Irrespective of market conditions, it can harmonize with a wider range of trading styles and instruments / trading pairs / indices like Stocks, Gold, FX, EURUSD, SPX500, GBPUSD, BTCUSD and Oil.
Inspiration and Publishing Taking genesis from the inspirations amongst others provided by TradingView Pine Script Wizard Kodify, blackOrb Phase is a multi-encompassing script meticulously forged from scratch. It aspires to furnish a comprehensive approach, borne out of personal experiences and a strong dedication in supporting the trading community. We eagerly await valuable feedback to refine and further enhance this tool.
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Pine Script Showcase / Chart Art
An optional chart art showcase added to highlight Pine Script's advanced visual capabilities. This indicator relies solely on dynamically coded plots, tables, and labels to create a seamless gaming-like experience (no static drawings or simple background images). Each graphic element is composed of up to 30 separate frames to achieve smooth movement.
To make these graphic elements react to price dynamics, the indicator's visualizations are linked to the analysis of the blackOrb Phase indicator (described above). During downward price phases, the visuals take on a more dramatic appearance, while in upward price movements, they adopt a more relaxed look.
This Halloween-themed showcase is in line with the release date in October ('Spooktober'). Users can select from different levels of spookiness or choose stochastic auto mode:
Note on Usability For a gaming-like experience with seamless animations, this chart art can be best enjoyed in Replay Mode with playback speeds ranging from 3x to 10x.
Inspiration This showcase is the result of inspiration drawn from other chartists (check: tradingview.com/ideas/chartart/) and a strong dedication to supporting the TradingView community.