🟥 Synthetic 10Y Real Yield (US10Y - Breakeven)

5 ก.ย.

This script calculates and plots a synthetic U.S. 10-Year Real Yield by subtracting the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (USGGBE10) from the nominal 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y).

Real yields are a core macro driver for gold, crypto, growth stocks, and bond pricing, and are closely monitored by institutional traders.

The script includes key reference lines:

0% = Below zero = deeply accommodative regime

1.5% = Common threshold used by macro desks to evaluate gold upside breakout conditions

📈 Use this to monitor macro shifts in real-time and front-run capital flows during major CPI, NFP, and Fed events.

Update Frequency: Daily (based on Treasury market data)

5 ก.ย.

เอกสารเผยแพร่

This script calculates and plots a synthetic U.S. 10-Year Real Yield by subtracting the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (USGGBE10) from the nominal 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y).

Real yields are a core macro driver for gold, crypto, growth stocks, and bond pricing, and are closely monitored by institutional traders.

The script includes key reference lines:

0% = Below zero = deeply accommodative regime

1.5% = Common threshold used by macro desks to evaluate gold upside breakout conditions

📈 Use this to monitor macro shifts in real-time and front-run capital flows during major CPI, NFP, and Fed events.

Update Frequency: Daily (based on Treasury market data)

5 ก.ย.

เอกสารเผยแพร่

This script calculates and plots a synthetic U.S. 10-Year Real Yield by subtracting the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (USGGBE10) from the nominal 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y).

Real yields are a core macro driver for gold, crypto, growth stocks, and bond pricing, and are closely monitored by institutional traders.

The script includes key reference lines:

0% = Below zero = deeply accommodative regime

1.5% = Common threshold used by macro desks to evaluate gold upside breakout conditions

📈 Use this to monitor macro shifts in real-time and front-run capital flows during major CPI, NFP, and Fed events.

Update Frequency: Daily (based on Treasury market data

5 ก.ย.

เอกสารเผยแพร่

Real Yield Overlay (Gold-Scaled View)

Author: [Saraicy]

This script overlays the U.S. 10-Year Real Yield directly onto your price chart (e.g. Gold), scaled and aligned to current price levels for intuitive macro correlation tracking.

📈 How it works:

Real Yield Calculation = Nominal 10Y Treasury Yield (FRED:GS10) − 10Y Breakeven Inflation Rate (FRED:T10YIE)

The result is scaled using a custom slope to reflect 0.1% real yield ≈ 200 price units (adjustable).

Overlay is anchored to a reference real yield and price (e.g. 1.6% at 3400), making real yield fluctuations visually interpretable alongside gold price movement.

A dynamic label shows current real yield (%) on the main chart, aligned with price action.

🔍 Use case:

This tool is designed for macro-informed traders, especially gold, Bitcoin, and rates traders, to:

Track inverse correlation between real yields and gold

Visualize monetary policy shifts and bond market reactions in price space

Aid real-time narrative building around inflation, recession risk, and Fed cuts

⚙️ Customizable inputs (in code):

anchor_yield: The real yield to anchor scaling to

anchor_price: The chart price to align with anchor yield

slope: Determines how dramatically real yield changes appear (default: 0.1% = 200pts)

5 ก.ย.

เอกสารเผยแพร่

### **Real Yield Overlay (Gold-Scaled View)**

**Author:** [Saraicy]

This script overlays the **U.S. 10-Year Real Yield** directly onto your price chart (e.g. Gold), scaled and aligned to current price levels for intuitive macro correlation tracking.

---

### 📈 **How it works:**

- **Real Yield Calculation** = Nominal 10Y Treasury Yield (FRED:GS10) − 10Y Breakeven Inflation Rate (FRED:T10YIE)
- The result is **scaled** using a custom slope to reflect **0.1% real yield ≈ 200 price units** (adjustable).
- Overlay is anchored to a **reference real yield** and **price** (e.g. 1.6% at 3400), making real yield fluctuations visually interpretable alongside gold price movement.
- A **dynamic label** shows current real yield (%) on the main chart, aligned with price action.

---

### 🔍 **Use case:**

This tool is designed for **macro-informed traders**, especially gold, Bitcoin, and rates traders, to:

- Track **inverse correlation** between real yields and gold
- Visualize **monetary policy shifts** and bond market reactions in price space
- Aid real-time narrative building around inflation, recession risk, and Fed cuts

---

### ⚙️ **Customizable inputs (in code):**

- `anchor_yield`: The real yield to anchor scaling to
- `anchor_price`: The chart price to align with anchor yield
- `slope`: Determines how dramatically real yield changes appear (default: 0.1% = 200pts)