CBDR Standard Deviation V2

CBDR
Standard Deviation measures how far price statistically deviates from the central bank dealer range before institutional rebalancing occurs. CBDR defines fair value, while standard deviation highlights liquidity expansion zones. Moves into ±2 SD or beyond often signal stop-loss sweeps and inventory imbalance, where institutions favor mean reversion, not breakouts.

CBDR SD Core Checklist

□ Daily IPDA bias defined
□ Clean CBDR formed (Asia / early London)
□ CBDR high & low marked
□ ±1 and ±2 SD levels plotted
□ Liquidity sweep beyond CBDR
□ No high-impact news in session

CBDR SD Reversal Trade Checklist

□ Price taps ±2 SD or ±2.5 SD
□ Clear rejection (wick / displacement)
□ Entry against the expansion, not on breakout
□ Stop placed beyond liquidity extreme
□ TP1: CBDR boundary
□ TP2: CBDR midpoint (mean)
□ TP3 (optional): Opposite CBDR extreme
□ Invalidate if strong trend displacement continues

This reversal model captures institutional fade trades after liquidity is harvested, keeping execution statistical, disciplined, and prop-firm resilient.