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GVWD | QuantumResearch

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QuantumResearch GVWD – Gaussian Volume-Weighted Deviation

The GVWD (Gaussian Volume-Weighted Deviation) is a powerful trend-following and volatility-based indicator that integrates Gaussian smoothing, volume-weighted price action, and adaptive ATR-based deviation bands. This combination allows traders to analyze market trends with enhanced precision while filtering out short-term noise. 🚀📊

1. Key Features

  • Gaussian Smoothing – Uses a Gaussian-weighted filter to refine price trends and remove noise. 📉📈
  • Volume-Weighted Adaptation – Incorporates volume-based price weighting for more responsive trend detection. 🔄
  • ATR-Based Deviation Bands – Dynamic upper and lower bounds adjust to market volatility for trend confirmation. ⚖️
  • Multi-Level Smoothing – Three levels of EMA smoothing on Gaussian-filtered data for layered analysis. 🎛️
  • Color-Coded Trend Visualization – Dynamic bar colors and background fills for clear market state identification. 🎨
  • Automated Alerts – Built-in Long/Short alerts for trade signal confirmation. 🔔


2. How It Works

A. Gaussian Filtered Price Calculation
  • Applies a Gaussian smoothing function to price data for trend refinement.
  • Weights price movements based on statistical deviation (sigma parameter) for precise trend estimation.
  • Filters out short-term market noise to capture the core trend movement.


B. Volume-Weighted Gaussian EMA
  • The filtered price is volume-weighted to prioritize significant moves.
  • Uses adaptive exponential smoothing to enhance trend sensitivity.
  • Ensures that high-volume price movements have more impact on the final output.


C. ATR-Based Deviation Bands
  • Calculates an adaptive range based on ATR (Average True Range).
  • Multiplier settings allow custom deviation tuning for different market conditions.
  • The upper and lower bounds define zones for trend continuation or potential reversals.


D. Signal Generation
  • Bullish Trend: When price is above the Gaussian EMA + ATR Upper Band. ✅
  • Bearish Trend: When price is below the Gaussian EMA - ATR Lower Band. ❌
  • Long Signal: Triggered when the trend shifts bullish.
  • Short Signal: Triggered when the trend shifts bearish.



3. Visual Representation

A. Color-Coded Trend Signals
  • Green Bars: Indicates a strong uptrend. 🟢
  • Blue Bars: Indicates a confirmed downtrend. 🔴
  • Gray Bars: Neutral or consolidation phase. ⚪


B. Multi-Level Gaussian EMA Smoothing
  • EMA 1 (Medium-Term): Serves as the primary trend-following line.
  • EMA 2 (Longer-Term): Acts as a higher timeframe confirmation.
  • EMA 3 (Extended Smoothing): Provides an even more stable view of price action.


C. Background Fill Based on Trend Strength
  • Stronger Trends: Brighter green/blue background.
  • Weaker Trends: Lighter shades indicate reduced momentum.


4. Customization & Parameters

  • Gaussian Smoothing Parameters: Adjust the sigma value to fine-tune the filter strength.
  • Volume-Weighted EMA Length: Select how far back price movements are weighted by volume.
  • ATR-Based Deviation Bands: Modify upper and lower multipliers for different volatility conditions.
  • Color Modes: Choose from 8 predefined color schemes for improved visualization.


5. Backtest & Market Applications

Backtest Summary:
The GVWD Indicator has been tested across various assets, including:
  • BTC/USD
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  • ETH/USD
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  • SOL/USD
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📊 Key Observations:
  • Smooth Trend Identification: Gaussian smoothing helps filter noise without excessive lag.
  • Volume Sensitivity Enhances Responsiveness: Prioritizes high-volume trend confirmations.
  • ATR Bands Help Define Entry & Exit Points: Useful for position management and risk control.


⚠️ Disclaimer: This indicator is designed to complement existing analysis techniques. Market conditions vary, and no tool can guarantee future performance. Always use proper risk management when trading.

6. Final Thoughts

  • The GVWD Indicator is a hybrid Gaussian smoothing and volatility-based trend tool that combines multiple advanced statistical techniques for trend analysis.
  • By removing noise and adapting to volume-based price movements, GVWD helps traders identify meaningful trend shifts.
  • Designed for multi-timeframe analysis, it can be used across different market conditions.
  • Important Reminder: No single indicator guarantees profitability. Always validate signals with additional market context. 📊

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