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Real Time UVXY Spike Level Tracker

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Key Features
  • Real Time All-Time Low Tracking: Continuously updates the ATL using daily timeframe data.
  • Multiple Spike Levels: Displays +20%, +50%, +75%, and +100% levels above the ATL.
  • Real-Time Spike Percentage: Shows current distance from ATL in an easy-to-read table.
Understanding the Chart Lines
  • Red Line (ATL): The all-time low baseline. This is your reference point for measuring volatility spikes.
  • Yellow Line (+20%): First level of moderate volatility increase. Minor market stress or routine volatility expansion.
  • Blue Line (+50%): Significant volatility event. Indicates elevated market concern or technical dislocation.
  • Purple Line (+75%): Major volatility spike. Typically coincides with substantial market selloffs or uncertainty.
  • Fuchsia Line (+100%): Extreme volatility event. Rare occurrences associated with market crashes, black swan events, or severe panic.
The Data Table Displays:
  • Current Spike %: Real-time percentage showing how far price is above the ATL (highlighted in green)
  • Level Column: Each spike threshold level
  • Price Column: Exact price at each level for quick reference
Understanding UVXY spike levels is valuable for several reasons:
  • Market Timing & Entry/Exit Points
  • UVXY typically experiences extreme spikes during market panics or crashes. Knowing historical spike levels helps you:
  • Identify extreme fear levels - When UVXY hits unusually high levels, it often signals peak panic and potential market bottoms
  • Avoid chasing volatility - Understanding what constitutes an "extreme" spike prevents buying in after the move is already exhausted
Mean Reversion Trading
UVXY has a strong tendency to decay over time due to its leveraged structure and the contango in VIX futures. Spike levels matter because:
  • High probability reversals - When UVXY reaches extreme levels (say 2-3x normal), there's historically been a high probability of reversion
  • Risk/reward assessment - You can better evaluate whether a short position or volatility-selling strategy makes sense
Leveraged ETF enthusiasts and volatility traders often use specific spike percentages as triggers to open short positions. For example, some traders might short when UVXY spikes 5-50%+ in a week or reaches certain percentage thresholds, betting on the inevitable decay back down

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