XRPUSD - Loss of ≈90% from ATH
As for the rest of the cryptocurrency market, we are relatively bearish on XRP. Our view is based on several technical and fundamental factors. Technical factors are described lower in the text.
Meanwhile, fundamental factors include a strengthening dollar due to the FED's rising interest rates (which are likely to increase again during the current week), economic tightening, and a slowing global economy. These factors weigh on the stock market to which risk assets like cryptocurrencies are correlated. Therefore, we foresee weakness for both of these asset classes in the medium-term and long-term.
As a result, we think the current rally in the cryptocurrency market represents just a temporary relief before more selling takes over.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the hourly chart of XRPUSD. It also shows two trendlines. Trendline 1 connects peaks from 20th July 2022 and 22nd July 2022; this trendline acts as the short-term resistance. Trendline 2 is parallel to Trendline 1; it acts as short-term support.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- are due to perform bearish crossover, which will further bolster the bearish case for XRP. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Since April 2021, the Ripple cryptocurrency lost over 80% of its market cap.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Meanwhile, fundamental factors include a strengthening dollar due to the FED's rising interest rates (which are likely to increase again during the current week), economic tightening, and a slowing global economy. These factors weigh on the stock market to which risk assets like cryptocurrencies are correlated. Therefore, we foresee weakness for both of these asset classes in the medium-term and long-term.
As a result, we think the current rally in the cryptocurrency market represents just a temporary relief before more selling takes over.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the hourly chart of XRPUSD. It also shows two trendlines. Trendline 1 connects peaks from 20th July 2022 and 22nd July 2022; this trendline acts as the short-term resistance. Trendline 2 is parallel to Trendline 1; it acts as short-term support.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- are due to perform bearish crossover, which will further bolster the bearish case for XRP. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
Since April 2021, the Ripple cryptocurrency lost over 80% of its market cap.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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