GOLD SELL NO RATE CUTS

29 เม.ย.

Dear Traders,

This why we think Gold is going to plummet,

Persisting Inflation: Sticky inflation signifies a troubling scenario where prices resist adjusting swiftly to shifts in supply and demand or broader economic changes. If inflation persists at heightened levels despite the Federal Reserve's attempts to manage it through interest rate adjustments, it could signal a deeply entrenched inflation problem.

Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Adjustments: Historically, the Federal Reserve resorts to interest rate cuts to spur economic expansion or counter economic downturns. In times of rampant inflation, the initial response might involve slashing interest rates to encourage borrowing and spending, thereby kickstarting economic activity. However, if inflation stubbornly persists or continues its ascent, the Federal Reserve might be forced to halt or reverse its rate-cutting measures to stave off further inflationary pressures.

Implications for Gold Prices: Gold has long served as a refuge against inflationary storms. As inflation escalates, investors flock to gold as a means of safeguarding their wealth, knowing it tends to fare better than fiat currencies during inflationary storms. Yet, if the Federal Reserve halts rate cuts due to sticky inflation, it could signal an impending economic downturn or a tightening of monetary policy, potentially easing inflationary pressures in the long run.

Anticipations and Market Forces: Should investors interpret the Federal Reserve's decision to halt rate cuts as an inadequate measure to address sticky inflation and stabilize the economy, it could trigger a panic in the markets. Fears of runaway inflation may intensify, prompting a mass exodus from gold as a hedge. Consequently, this could lead to a rapid decrease in gold demand, precipitating a sharp decline in its price.

In summary, if sticky inflation forces the Federal Reserve to halt rate cuts, it could exacerbate inflationary pressures and erode confidence in gold as a safe haven asset, resulting in a dramatic plunge in gold prices. Nevertheless, market responses are highly unpredictable and influenced by a myriad of factors beyond inflation and interest rate policies.