XAUUSD OUTLOOK - September 21 2024

21 ก.ย.

Technical Analysis
Gold remains in a bullish stance, with prices holding firmly around the $2,600 mark. Last week's price action showed resilience, bouncing off the $2,560 support level. The key resistance remains at $2,630, and a clear break above this could open a path toward $2,650–$2,700. The RSI is near overbought territory, suggesting a potential short-term correction, while the 50-day and 200-day moving averages indicate continued upward momentum, with the golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook.

Support Levels: $2,550 (primary), $2,515 (secondary)
Resistance Levels: $2,630 (primary), $2,650-$2,700 (extended)

Fundamental Analysis
Gold's fundamental outlook remains strong due to a confluence of macroeconomic factors. Inflationary pressures continue to drive demand for gold as a hedge, particularly with expectations of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. This could lead to a weaker U.S. dollar, further boosting gold prices. Geopolitical uncertainties, such as tensions in Ukraine and ongoing U.S.-China trade issues, are increasing gold's safe-haven appeal. Additionally, central banks continue to accumulate gold reserves, providing strong underlying demand and supporting the metal’s upward trajectory. Overall, sentiment for gold remains heavily bullish and expectations continue to grow which may see some severe short turn cuts while maintaining the upward momentum.

Summary
Gold is expected to maintain its bullish trajectory, with a potential consolidation phase due to technical factors like the RSI indicating overbought conditions. Fundamentally, inflation, dovish Fed policies, and geopolitical uncertainties are likely to drive further demand for gold. A key level to watch is $2,630, and if this resistance is broken, gold could head toward the $2,700 mark. However, a pullback to $2,560 would offer a strong support level for renewed buying.