Technical Analysis 1. 1H Chart (Higher Timeframe Trend) • Downtrend Reversal: Price was in a strong downtrend but is now bouncing off a key support near 2827-2830. • MACD: Histogram is reducing bearish momentum, suggesting a possible trend reversal. • RSI (14): Rising from oversold conditions (~54.89), indicating bullish momentum building up. 2. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Confirmation) • Reversal Pattern: A sharp recovery from lows around 2849, forming higher lows. • MACD: Bullish crossover with histogram turning positive, confirming bullish momentum. • RSI (12): Nearing overbought levels (~68.23), but still has room for continuation. 3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing) • Pullback to Support: Price is consolidating after a strong breakout above 2862. • MACD: Still showing bullish structure but a minor pullback is visible. • RSI (10): Neutral at 50.89, meaning price is neither overbought nor oversold, ideal for a continuation entry.
Fundamental Analysis • Gold Demand: Potentially rising due to economic uncertainty, with investors looking for safe-haven assets. • USD Weakness: If upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, job reports) indicate a slowing U.S. economy, gold could gain strength. • Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment continues, gold could push higher.
Trade Execution
Position: Long XAU/USD • Entry: 2865 (After minor pullback confirmation) • Stop Loss: 2855 (Below recent pullback low) • Take Profit: 2890 (Near previous resistance level) • Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2.5:1
Rationale • The uptrend reversal is forming on the 1H and 15M charts. • Momentum indicators (MACD & RSI) support a bullish move. • Strong demand and potential USD weakness could fuel further upside. XAUUSD