Factors 1. Price has experienced a very LT downtrend 2. EMA is converging 3. Price is approaching the top of the LT downtrend line 4. There is an overhead gap at 2.2c & 2.9 which I would be looking to target.
Possible Reasons For Failure 1. Base may not form 2. Prices may continue to downtrend 3. No bullish price action/candlestick pattern to initiate breakout trade
Watchlist and keep an eye on trendline break as well as 1.1c & 1.5c level.