US Tech 100 Index
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NASDAQ Technical Analysis

231
Trade Setup Overview

  • Entry Price: 21,530.33
  • Target Price: 22,232.41
  • Stop Loss: 21,297.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
  • Trade Type: Long Position
  • Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital
  • Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart


Position Sizing and Risk Analysis

  • Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management
  • Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss)
  • Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry)
  • Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility


Technical Timeframe Considerations

  • 4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach
  • Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals
  • Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation
  • Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed


Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios

Positive NFP Scenario:

  • Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum
  • Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move
  • Watch for potential extension beyond initial target



Negative NFP Scenario:

  • Have preset stop loss in place
  • No emotional attachment to position
  • Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity




Trade Management Strategy

Entry Execution

  • Enter at specified price of 21,530.33
  • Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity
  • Maintain discipline on entry price



Position Management

  • Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable)
  • Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward
  • Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor
  • Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days



Exit Strategy

  • Primary target: 22,232.41
  • Consider market context at target approach
  • Use price action at target level for exit timing
  • Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation




Risk Management Rules

  • Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%)
  • No averaging down on losing positions
  • Respect stop loss level - no exceptions
  • Consider market hours volatility
  • Account for pre/post market gaps


Technical Price Levels

  • Entry Zone: 21,530.33
  • Critical Support: 21,297.97


Psychological Levels:

  • 21,500
  • 22,000
  • 22,200



Target Zone: 22,232.41

Session Considerations

  • Monitor pre-market sentiment
  • Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW)
  • Consider reduced position size during high-impact news
  • Be aware of market hours volatility spikes


Trade Invalidation

  • Clear invalidation below 21,297.97
  • Technical structure breaks
  • Significant shift in market sentiment
  • Unexpected negative catalyst impac
t

Key Reminders

  • "Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline
  • NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly
  • 4H timeframe requires patience
  • Stick to planned position size
  • Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation


Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
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Target reached.

Textbook performance.

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