Over the past three days we have seen two false breaks above 158, both resulting with a daily shooting star reversal. The upper wicks also serve as a double top above 158, and with US economic data slowly souring, the case for a top on USD/JPY is building.
Prices have found support around the May high, and another crack at 158 would not come as a surprise. Yet given that the daily RSI (2) is overbought and has formed a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart, and the highest volume of yesterday coincided with a large bearish bar, the bias remains to fade into rallies around 158 or Friday's high in anticipation of its next leg lower.
157.30, 157 and 156.60 are the next downside targets for bears to consider.
Prices have found support around the May high, and another crack at 158 would not come as a surprise. Yet given that the daily RSI (2) is overbought and has formed a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart, and the highest volume of yesterday coincided with a large bearish bar, the bias remains to fade into rallies around 158 or Friday's high in anticipation of its next leg lower.
157.30, 157 and 156.60 are the next downside targets for bears to consider.
