Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025
Market Overview:
[]Asia:
[]China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout. []Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum. []South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th.
[]Europe:
[]EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD. []Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days. []France: Continues to show strength this year.
[]Bitcoin and Ethereum:
[]Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating.
Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout.
Key Indicators and Sectors:
[]VIX: At 15.07, remaining low. []Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days. []Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30. []RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th. []QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th. []Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience. []FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves. []XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days. []XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days. []XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward. []XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week. []XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th. []Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred. []DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy.
Plan of Action:
[]Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength. []Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves.
Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.