Bitcoin probably will peak at around $386,000 in Oct 2025
This is the total market cap crypto chart since 2015. Notice there are two lines drawn; one is long term support and the other is long term resistance formed from the last two cycle peaks.
Focusing on the long term resistance line the following are the top cycle dates, Bitcoin market cap, Total Crypto market cap and % Bitcoin of the total market cap at the last two cycle peaks:
Date Bitcoin Mkt Cap Total Crypto Mkt Cap % Bitcoin of Total Cap
12/17/17 $320.6 B $761.74 B 42.0
11/10/21 $1.236 T $3.01 T 41.1
2/9/25 $1.908 T $3.15 T 60.5
10/21/25 $7.66 T $18.46 T 41.5
Notes:
1. Notice the last two cycle peaks Bitcoin peaked it was 41 to 42% of the total Crypto Market Cap.
2. Notice today Bitcoin is 60.5% of the total crypto market cap.
3. Since alt season really hasn't started but is expected to occur eventually before this bull market is over, Bitcoin to fall to 41-42% of total market cap will have to underperform the alt coin total market cap in the next 8.5 months.
4. I'm predicting Oct 2025 for a cycle top since the last two bull market cycles for Bitcoin lasted 35.1 months (1/14/15 to 12/17/17) and 34.8 months (12/15/18 to 11/10/21). 35 months from the start of this bull market (11/21/22) is 10/21/25.
5. Continuing the resistance line forward in time projects $18.46 T for total crypto market cap by 10/21/25. Assuming Bitcoin drops to 41.5% by dominance it will have a $7.66 T market cap by then. $7.66 T / $1.908 T (now) = 4.01 fold. 4.01 fold the current $96,280 Bitcoin price puts the Bitcoin price at about $386,000 by 10/21/25.
Focusing on the long term resistance line the following are the top cycle dates, Bitcoin market cap, Total Crypto market cap and % Bitcoin of the total market cap at the last two cycle peaks:
Date Bitcoin Mkt Cap Total Crypto Mkt Cap % Bitcoin of Total Cap
12/17/17 $320.6 B $761.74 B 42.0
11/10/21 $1.236 T $3.01 T 41.1
2/9/25 $1.908 T $3.15 T 60.5
10/21/25 $7.66 T $18.46 T 41.5
Notes:
1. Notice the last two cycle peaks Bitcoin peaked it was 41 to 42% of the total Crypto Market Cap.
2. Notice today Bitcoin is 60.5% of the total crypto market cap.
3. Since alt season really hasn't started but is expected to occur eventually before this bull market is over, Bitcoin to fall to 41-42% of total market cap will have to underperform the alt coin total market cap in the next 8.5 months.
4. I'm predicting Oct 2025 for a cycle top since the last two bull market cycles for Bitcoin lasted 35.1 months (1/14/15 to 12/17/17) and 34.8 months (12/15/18 to 11/10/21). 35 months from the start of this bull market (11/21/22) is 10/21/25.
5. Continuing the resistance line forward in time projects $18.46 T for total crypto market cap by 10/21/25. Assuming Bitcoin drops to 41.5% by dominance it will have a $7.66 T market cap by then. $7.66 T / $1.908 T (now) = 4.01 fold. 4.01 fold the current $96,280 Bitcoin price puts the Bitcoin price at about $386,000 by 10/21/25.
การซื้อขายยังคงดำเนินอยู่
Correction: I was looking at Oct 2026 for crypto market total market cap not Oct 2025 which is the expected 35 month top for this bull cycle like the previous two cycles. So Note #5 should read: "Continuing the resistance line forward in time projects $13.02 T for total crypto market cap by 10/21/25. Assuming Bitcoin drops to 41.5% dominance it will have a $5.403 T market cap by then. $5.403 T / $1.908 T (now) = 2.83 fold. 2.83 fold the current $96280 Bitcoin price puts the Bitcoin price at about $272,000 by 10/21/25. And the video title should be changed from $386,000 to $272,000.
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คำจำกัดสิทธิ์ความรับผิดชอบ
ข้อมูลและบทความไม่ได้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อก่อให้เกิดกิจกรรมทางการเงิน, การลงทุน, การซื้อขาย, ข้อเสนอแนะ หรือคำแนะนำประเภทอื่น ๆ ที่ให้หรือรับรองโดย TradingView อ่านเพิ่มเติมที่ ข้อกำหนดการใช้งาน