SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 We can see th
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SPX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022
We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.41% which declined from 3.56% last week. Currently according to ATR we are on 80th percentile, and according to VIX we are on 65th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a volatile market.
Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details. We can see that currently there is 24.3% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel TOP: 3890 BOT: 3616 This can also be translated as a 75.7% chance that the market is going to move within this established range.
At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a 38% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 3930 66% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 3700