[SPX] I Don't Trust This Island Reversal Breakout Setup...

Bear case on thin ice but not invalidated yet.

A breakout over a 1M H&S Right Shoulder that takes the form of an Island Reversal by EOD while crossing over and closing under the ATH isn't a strong breakout confirm. Looks a lot more like a False Breakout here. On the other hand, momentum does look strong so could just be a technicality but need tomorrow's data to confirm. Proceed with caution.

Bear case likely requires yields to spike or oil to tank.

1W ATH close tomorrow may seal the Bull case and next up leg.

Anything short of that is still bearish.

Stock Market Championship Game

Chicago Bears vs. Chicago Bulls

3/12/2021

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Momentum starting to tank a bit...

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Bit more weakness, broke through SMA 55 but not dipping down much...

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Playin out nicely so far...

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Island Reversal over Right Shoulder on the verge of completion...

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Struggling to get back over the 1.5Y Peak Channel...

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Today we formed a very flat RW that is reaching it's final destination shortly...

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This Box fractal should be useful Monday...