$RBLX - Roblox Bear Case
Roblox problems
1. MMO Platform - Admin cannot faithfully & confidently moderate the expansive player base. Although majority of incidents will remain isolated & unheard of it's only a matter of time until a full scale youtube expose campaign runs viral through the inter webs & presents a critical flaw in the chainlink of Roblox accountability + safety.
2. The annual revenue, cash flow, debt, etc do not correlate to neighbouring assets of similar market caps.
3. They are currently experiencing problems with in game ad placements https://uk.themedialeader.com/roblox-moves-to-create-a-walled-garden-as-it-leans-into-ad-strategy/
4. There is no plausible route to a higher multiple of profitability.
In my personal opinion the following scenarios could occur to generate more cash.
- Malicious Membership System
- Overindulgence in Ads
- Sale of stock
- Investor Capital ( Debt + )
Those 4 options although temporarily provide cash relief will not solve the problems outlined above, particularly the issue of disparity when it comes to market cap & $$ etc.
In summary a strong bear case can be made for RBLX.
These MMO platforms are profitable as companies & often thrive under small private team management VS large scale corporate structure ( See Club Penguin history )
Free money shorting post election Nov - Dec 2024 until Nov 2025 ( 1 year time frame ).
$45 -> $16 approx.
1. MMO Platform - Admin cannot faithfully & confidently moderate the expansive player base. Although majority of incidents will remain isolated & unheard of it's only a matter of time until a full scale youtube expose campaign runs viral through the inter webs & presents a critical flaw in the chainlink of Roblox accountability + safety.
2. The annual revenue, cash flow, debt, etc do not correlate to neighbouring assets of similar market caps.
3. They are currently experiencing problems with in game ad placements https://uk.themedialeader.com/roblox-moves-to-create-a-walled-garden-as-it-leans-into-ad-strategy/
4. There is no plausible route to a higher multiple of profitability.
In my personal opinion the following scenarios could occur to generate more cash.
- Malicious Membership System
- Overindulgence in Ads
- Sale of stock
- Investor Capital ( Debt + )
Those 4 options although temporarily provide cash relief will not solve the problems outlined above, particularly the issue of disparity when it comes to market cap & $$ etc.
In summary a strong bear case can be made for RBLX.
These MMO platforms are profitable as companies & often thrive under small private team management VS large scale corporate structure ( See Club Penguin history )
Free money shorting post election Nov - Dec 2024 until Nov 2025 ( 1 year time frame ).
$45 -> $16 approx.
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Hindenburg announced their short position today. 
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