Price Action Analysis * Trend Overview: The price has been moving in a consistent upward channel, forming higher lows and maintaining support at key levels. The current price is approaching a resistance zone around $533-$535.
* Support Levels: * $521 (short-term horizontal support). * $502 (major support from previous consolidation). * Resistance Levels: * $530 (minor resistance, recent pivot). * $535 (major resistance based on options call wall and historical levels).
Trading Plan * Bullish Scenario: If QQQ breaks above $535 with strong volume, we can expect a continuation toward $540 or higher. * Entry: Above $535. * Target: $540, $550. * Stop Loss: Below $530.
* Bearish Scenario: If QQQ fails to break above $530 and falls below $521, it could retest $510 or $502. * Entry: Below $521. * Target: $510, $502. * Stop Loss: Above $525.
Option Strategy * Bullish: * Buy QQQ $535 Calls (expiring in 2 weeks) if price breaks above $535. * Target Delta: 0.5; Max loss to be capped at 50% of premium paid.
* Bearish: * Buy QQQ $520 Puts (expiring in 2 weeks) if price drops below $521. * Target Delta: 0.5; Risk 50% of premium. * Neutral-to-Bullish Play: * Bull Put Spread: Sell $525 Put, Buy $520 Put for premium collection if price stays above $525.
GEX Insights * Call Wall: $535 shows high call interest, aligning with resistance. * Put Wall: $500-$505 levels act as strong support. * Implication: The current Gamma Exposure (GEX) favors a bullish scenario above $530.
Conclusion and Thoughts The overall trend for QQQ remains bullish as long as it holds above $521. A break above $535 with volume would signal further upside potential. However, failure to hold $521 could lead to downside toward $510 or $502.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.