NZDUSD key fib retracement suggests a bounce

Key fib retracement (0.50) from the top of 2015-04-22 to bottom 2015-08-21. Several times the prices has stalled at this level to bounce up high. Will it be another time? Also respect the 100 bar and 200 bar Moving Averages on 1 hour, 4 hour, 1 day chars.