NAZ has had 3 U Turns at KL 12055 and 3 rejections near 12261. Did not go above O/N high on Thursday, after O/N prop and Open selloff. KL's to use and Long above 12329, Short at no pass. Short below 12150 and Long at KL hold. Strong Short under 12117. O/N price action will be key tonight and would only expect a lift with selloff at Open. A selloff in O/N usually produces a pop during Open Session. Looking for 1 way action in both sessions, strong lift or strong selloff. This may be the surprise, mainly a O/N selloff and Open Selloff.
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Note: For those that follow, after 3 years and 500 Daily TV Post's, I will be ending the Daily Forecast & Intraday free service. I am moving to a private service that will use TradingView Charts, including my IDS Indicators. Message me if you have interest. I will continue some usual post's through the mid/end of February or until new program is ready. Thanks for following and all your support.
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Potential Moves in Range.
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Most FAANG did not do much Thursday and the FNG1 ETF was up 2%?? You have to watch all the tricks when it comes to propping. The bounce today was very odd when you try and do the math and view the price action. Just feel a curve ball is on the way.
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Boxes are Failed Auction Zones that may be retested.
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Long 12080 to 12120 Scalp
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NAZ may go 1 way Lower today after a few retracements.
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No pass at 110-115 goes back to 080
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Yellow arrow is day or Open range, NAZ came down and retested Auction Zones. Yesterday Dead Zone rally may be a set up for a Short or just another lower range bounce. The move will play out, I am tilting towards a lower move or pop rally type sell off.
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Like I mentioned the Dead Zone rally was a drop offset to what just happened, today may be the 1 way lower drop that is overdue. Expect rally selling as we are below the Prop Box of 2023 and into zone of Prop Box 2022. May see some magic tricks with whatever, just understand the drive is lower.
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Arrows are a guide, the Key was Strong Short under 12117 in open message.
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This may happen on upside as their are failed auctions up to top arrow, no guarantee. After a failed auction is retested it may reverse.
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If you are struggling you may want to just use KL's as entry and target with 1 direction picked with stop behind. Go through 500 prior posts and check out the probability or accuracy. Today would of been KL 12117 Short with stop at 12118 or 12125. From now watch 055, 008 and 910 KL's and the movement to and from.
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This is opening zone and moves off KL's. The market has not even opened yet, this is all O/N B.S. which is like the DEAD ZONE Zombies. Lets see the big push lower at Open or the Pop. Just use KL's with Trades and Scalp.
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Opening trade is Long to 12008 then 055
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12060 is resistance on any lift.
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No pass at 008 yet use a stop behind.
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12030 may drop
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1st long scalp was good and set up drop
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Now look short under 12008
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9am CT the pop will start or try back to KL 12008
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Long above 975 back to 008
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12008 and under is Short, you can scalp back toward or just keep Short under 12008. The 75 gave a few scalp toward 008, when 008 did not get hit you reverse Short. This was just like the Opening Trade Long to 055, which did not hit so then that became a Short.
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11940 to 11880 is a drop zone or free fall area, look for NAZ to get propped here or it will drop. Usually they will try and keep it out.
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Should NAZ hold at low, it will try for 12055, Back Later.
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11940 is Long to 12000
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Long to 12000 did not make it, got to 86. So you close after 2-3 attempts. Short back to bottom of 1st 30M 60. Under 60 is lower move for balance of day if it passes 910.
Above 910 or 60 look long back to 12000 055
Above 910 or 60 look long back to 12000 055
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Scalping is a lot of work and is how to trade the Dead Zone if sideways like today. The move O/N and pre hour, too most of the movement out. Unless you got that also.
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Mentioned 12055 as target and got to 12020. Under 12050 is short back to low or KL 910.
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KL trades are easy and usually work out.
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12008 lift, rejection is drop.
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Back later, 60 to 08 is range.
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923 is likely lower target should 08 reject.
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Narrow range since bottom, may see big move out of bottom and lower should 923 not hold. You should be Short from KL 12008.
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They are trying to keep it out of free fall zone, may see another U Turn? Today is the curveball, lower O/N and lower Open 1 way day. May not work today.
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960 and above is Long on retest from above 960.
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Turd U Turn attempt.
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1st hit rejected.
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next move will be big.
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Turd rejected 2nd hit.
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Long Trap could be here should NAZ stall.
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Tuff Turd, needs to get way above 11906 today.
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11970 and up is fakeish and stalling
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11980 is really fake
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No pass at 80 is Short
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980 or 9990 is KL to watch
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Stalling after some time at level. Under 960 is confirm.
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60 - 80 may be stop clean out.
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U Turn rejected
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65 and under now
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980 showing fake watch 998
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Stall will try 75
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Free fall protected, Again.
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75 and up are all failed auctions these usually get retested.
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220 again, no hit at 250 should drop to 75
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Short stop clean out, should drop. Final hour is random.
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946 is low target
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980 to 220
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12000 is mid range, the lift is option related
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975 hit needs to pass 960
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KL trade 12008 again worked.
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Long Trap after Long Trap
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48 may bounce
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48 hold back to 220
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May see Long Head Fake. Flat
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948 Hit
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Have a Great Weekend.
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Free fall danger zone avoided. Slight U Turn.
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12960 to 12000 are all failed auctions, look for NAZ to retest prior to any lift.