Type : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 1.2184
Pivot: 1.2061
1st Support : 1.1955
2nd Support : 1.1778
Preferred Case: On the H4, with prices moving within an ascending channel and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 1.2061 where the swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection are. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken the pivot , we would expect bullish momentum to carry prices to 1st resistance at 1.2184 where the swing high resistance,61.8% fibonacci retracement , 100% fibonacci projection and 127.2% fibonacci extension are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to the 1st support at 1.1955 where the pullback support is. Should price break 1st support, we would have a bearish bias that price will drop to 2nd support at 1.1778 in line with swing low support and 100% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: BoE Gov Bailey commented that in order to bring UK inflation towards the 2% target, the BoE could consider more aggressive rate increases of 50bps. This gives us a bullish bias towards the GBPUSD forex pair.