🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD
🔰 Time Frame : 4H
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : SELL
In our last analysis, we observed large market imbalance. Although the hourly 4 chart remained oversold, the current imbalance still unfilled fully. The short-term trend remained open to the downside, with buyers taking on substantial risks.
We implemented our strategy of selling at every high in gold, aiming for a target of $1,900.80. We anticipated that if the support level at $1,918.80 was breached today, more sellers would emerge, supported by increasing volume favouring selling.
The intra-day commentary highlighted a bearish reversal on the daily chart, confirmed by the first bearish candle with a decline of 0.51% and low volume. Although the support at $1,918.80 was broken, a new bottom formed at $1,915.80 to $1,917.80. The weekly chart indicated lower highs, suggesting a short-term target in the range of $1,882.80 to $1,892.80.
From a technical standpoint, the weekly bearish chat indicating a fully bearish medium to long-term trend. Notably, a cycle of higher highs rejections on the weekly chart has historically led to multi-month bearish cycles in gold.
We also considered the impact of the Dollar Index (DX), which also has been on an uptrend, potentially counterbalancing the reversal possibility in gold.