Last week, we cited the potential breakout in the SPDR Gold ETF. Today’s chart shows a similar pattern in miner Barrick Gold.

First, consider the series of lower highs since August 2020. Then notice how the price action Friday and today violated this downward trajectory.

Second is the rounded bottom around $18, which took shape in the fourth quarter. This suggests new support has emerged as the bearish trend fades.

Such a squeezing range may have reflected an equilibrium between buyers and sellers. However that neutral market took shape before inflation worries caused the broader market to stumble. The newer (and less bullish) normal is potentially more favorable for a safe haven like gold.

Next, traders may view the November high around $21.19 as resistance. Can GOLD close above that level?

Finally you have some interesting relative strength because gold miners are up about 5 percent in the last month, while the S&P 500 is down about 5 percent in the same period.

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