Based on our strategy integrating SMC, Elliott Wave, Gann angles, and Fibonacci retracement levels, gold is currently showing signs of weakness after a strong bullish rally. Below is a breakdown of the market structure:
1️⃣ Market Structure & Price Action: • Gold reached a weak high around the 2960 zone before showing rejection. • A clear BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside confirms a shift in market sentiment. • Price is now trading below the previous daily high (PDH) and approaching key demand zones.
2️⃣ Key Levels: • Support Levels: • 2787 - 2770: Major demand zone and 50% retracement from the latest impulsive move. • 2720 - 2697: Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level and equilibrium zone. • Resistance Levels: • 2905 - 2921: Fibonacci 50%-61.8% retracement of the last leg down. • 2960 - 2980: Premium supply zone (previous high).
3️⃣ Smart Money & Liquidity Zones: • Stop Hunt Area: Liquidity has been swept around 2960 where the market reversed. • Discount Buying Zone: Institutions might accumulate orders in the 2780-2720 range. • Premium Selling Zone: If price retests 2905 - 2921, sellers are likely to step in again.
📌 Long-Term Investment View: • Gold remains in an overall uptrend, and any dips towards 2720-2697 should be considered strong buying opportunities for a long-term bullish move. • If price holds above 2800, we expect a continuation toward 3000+ levels in the next months.
Conclusion: • Gold is currently retracing, and a buy zone is forming near 2780-2720. • Smart money concepts suggest accumulation around equilibrium levels. • Short-term traders can look for a rejection at 2905 for a sell, or 2785-2770 for a buy. • Long-term investors can buy dips towards 2720 for a rally continuation toward 3000+.
📊 Risk Management Tip: Ensure a 1:3 risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations at key levels before executing trades.