GDX Update: Bear Trend In Effect, Stromger Than 48 Hours Ago
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This is an update from 48 hours ago, a chart I published on-GDX. I thought this was necessary because I watched as-GDX was recommended on national cable television today. I strongly disagree. Here are ONE DOZEN negatives I see in-GDX, and why I feel this-ETF is a sell: 1. Sell Fractals in effect (red rectangle on chart). 2. Alligator jaws NOW OPENED in tandem with sell Fractals. Alligator feeding in new down-trend. THIS IS YOUR DIRECTIONAL COMPASS. 3. Chop indicator (under chart) is well above the 38.2 shaded area. This indicates a ZERO trend and, at best, sloppy action with a downward bias. 4. Phase energy (lower top indicator) is below the zero line. Tried to rally with an upside cross of the zero line, BUT FAILED 5. DMI-top indicator-is bearish . NEW NEGATIVE CROSS (red over green). This is a sell signal. 6. Prices are trading UNDER the Ichimoku Cloud . This is a sell signal. 8. Prices are trading below the Ki jun-Sen baseline of the Ichimoku Cloud . This is a sell signal. 9. Prices are trading below the thick red Ichimoku Cloud conversion line. This is a sell signal. 9. The red Ichimoku Cloud conversion line direction is heading lower. This is a sell signal. 10. The Ki jun-Sen baseline of the Ichimoku Cloud direction is heading lower. This is a sell signal. 11. The CHOP ZONE indicator (under chart) is red, indicating a down trend. 12. The middle top indicator is a forward projection as follows: For an estimation of possible FORWARD TRENDING I use the Ichimoku Cloud Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): (Conversion Line + Base Line)/2)). This is the midpoint between the Conversion Line and the Base Line. The Leading Span A forms one of the two Cloud boundaries. It is referred to as "Leading" because it is plotted 26 periods in the future and forms the faster Cloud boundary. I then make an oscillator out of this and plot the progress up and down around a “zero line”. I HAVE THE RESULTS OF THESE CALCULATIONS FOR-GDX IN THE TOP MIDDLE INDICATOR. IT IS VERY NEGATIVE, AND HAS GOTTEN MORE BEARISH IN THE PAST 48 HOURS, MOVING FURTHER DOWNWARDS.
Do I see an upside reversal for-GDX? No, I do not. In fact, the chart for-GDX has gotten weaker. Good luck to you in all your trades. Don.