Today’s analysis – GBPUSD – in a technical area of confluence, a retracement to the .618 Fibonacci is likely. Points to consider, - Local trend swing high - Equal highs ( Liquidity grab) - Local support confluence (.618 Fibonacci) - Oscillators overextended - Volume increasing
GBPUSD is testing a key level with equal highs. This increases the probability of a liquidity grab.
Local support is the immediate target which is in confluence with the .618 Fibonacci. A retest and respect of this area will establish an S/R Flip.
Both oscillators are over extended which is a sign that the market is overbought and due for a retrace. There is a clear influx of volume, this solidifies that GBPUSD is at a key pivot, follow through will fuel the direction.
Overall, in my opinion, a short is valid with defined risk. Price action must be used upon discretion/management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“There is a huge difference between a good trade and good trading.” – Steve Burns