GBP/JPY: Bearish Setup to Expect Levels

From the recent price action on the GBP/JPY 1H chart, the pair has shown signs of exhaustion after a corrective pullback into key Fibonacci retracement levels. The latest upswing appears to have found resistance around the 0.786 Fibonacci level (near 191.60–192.00), which suggests limited upside momentum.

- Bearish Momentum: The RSI is rolling over from overbought conditions on lower time frames, hinting that sellers are stepping back in.
- Fibonacci Confluence: The identified Expect Level 1 (~190.29) and Expect Level 2 (~189.73) coincide with Fibonacci extension targets—an indication that these levels could see a reaction or bounce.
- Price Structure: The broader trend on the 1H chart remains to the downside, with lower highs forming since the pair topped earlier in the week. A retest of the 0.786 fib area has fueled sellers to push price lower again.

Expectation

- A potential breakdown toward 190.29 (Expect Level 1) is likely if the current corrective bounce fails below 192.00.
- Further bearish follow-through could drive price down to 189.73 (Expect Level 2), aligning with Fibonacci extensions and support levels.