EUR/USD Analysis: Range-Bound Movement with Potential Rebound

28 ต.ค.

The EUR/USD currency pair remains stagnant around the 1.0800 mark after experiencing its fourth consecutive week of losses. Following a slight bullish retracement, the pair has retraced downwards again, opening the London session this morning with a bullish candle, yet still confined within a defined range.

The strength of the US Dollar (USD) has persisted as we head into the weekend, exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. This demand for the USD has been bolstered by rising US Treasury bond yields, which contributed to its strength on Friday.

Looking ahead, the economic calendar for the United States is relatively light, featuring only the Texas Manufacturing Business Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. It is unlikely that this report will induce any significant market reaction. However, market participants will closely monitor upcoming third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States. Additionally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the October employment report on Friday, which will include critical figures such as the Unemployment Rate, Nonfarm Payrolls, and wage inflation data.

From a technical standpoint, our outlook suggests a potential rebound towards the demand zone. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a consistent trend over the past two weeks, with retail traders holding short positions while institutional players appear to be building long setups. Our forecasting analysis points to a possible emergence of a new bullish trend in the near future.

As we await further developments, the key remains patience—watching to see if the price reaches our designated area of interest before committing to a bullish position. The market’s reaction to the upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining the next steps for the EUR/USD pair.

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