Bullish retest? Is Raul Paul right?

Short term trading plan: Trade the possible range

Red = Sell
Blue = Neutral
Green = Buy

Overall market still very bearish

Probabilities:

SPX: New lower low = 80%, Test Lows = 15%, Lows are in = 5%
Crypto: New lower low = 60%, Test Lows = 35%, Lows are in = 5% (This one is hard for me)