Pay attention. ES long term support may surprise markets (long)
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If you have not been paying attention, this is a good time to learn about a support level many are ignoring.
Yes, this support from 2011~2015, and the range I've drawn in BLUE, will likely prompt a relief/recovery rally (if support holds). If this support level fails, then we will see a much bigger breakdown in the markets over the next few months (before the Fed steps in to save the day - if they can).
Please understand this is a technical support level that may prompt a US Christmas Rally phase (if it holds).
There are no guarantees, but earnings should set the tone with extended volatility and, I suspect, fairly clear expectations headed into Q4:2022 & Q1:2023.
Get ready. If my research is correct, we will quickly transition into a Christmas Rally phase while the doom-n-gloomers sell the rally.