DXY Outlook: Hawkish Fed and Key Indicators Point to Strength

27 ส.ค. 2023

DXY
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's cautiously hawkish stance, indicating a willingness to raise interest rates and maintain a restrictive policy, aligns with several key economic indicators. The Interest Rate at 5.5% and Inflation Rate at 3.2% suggest that the Fed is indeed in a tightening cycle, which is generally bullish for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The GDP Growth Rate of 2.4% further supports this hawkish outlook, as a growing economy often strengthens the currency.

However, there are dovish elements to consider. The high Government Debt to GDP ratio of 129% and a negative Balance of Trade could exert downward pressure on the DXY. Consumer Confidence at 69.5 and Money Supply at 5,517,200 USD Million also warrant attention, as they could influence consumer spending and liquidity, respectively.

Short Target: 103

Long-Term Target: 106-109

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