2025 is a Bull Year

I would like to start the year with what I expect if we talk about the crypto market - a bull market until September 2025
If we talk about the stock market - bullish or flat as it was in 2005 and 2015.

If we take statistics in years that end in the number 5 (1895, 1905, 1915, 1925, 1935, 1945, 1955, 1965, 1975, 1975, 1985, 1995, 2005, 2015) - we see bull markets.
Below, I have shown weekly charts of each year ending in the number 5.


1905


1915


1925


1935


1945


1955


1965



1975


1985



1995



2005


2015


2025


Here, we saw that all years are bullish, but 2005 and 2015 were reaccumulation.


Positive Scenarios for 2025

Soft monetary policy: If the Federal Reserve keeps rates at levels that support credit growth and capital availability, it will support the corporate sector and business expansion.

Technological breakthrough: A recovery in investment in artificial intelligence, green energy and biotechnology could create new growth drivers for the Dow Jones.

Sustainable global development: If geopolitical tensions diminish and international trade relations stabilize, the global economy will gain new momentum, reflected in the index's growth.

Negative Scenarios for 2025

Tight monetary policy: A sharp rise in interest rates could reduce the availability of capital, which could slow economic growth and pressure corporate profits.

Geopolitical instability: Increased conflict or trade wars between major economies could lead to declining investor confidence and capital outflows from the market.

Declining technological development: If leading sectors such as technology and green energy do not show the expected growth, it could affect market expectations and valuations.

Conclusion

Analyzing the history of the Dow Jones, years ending in 5 represent unique periods of growth and recovery. Against the backdrop of current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, 2025 could be a year of significant opportunity.

The optimistic scenario is based on continued loose monetary policy, innovation, and stabilization of global relations. However, the risks associated with tight monetary policy and global instability require caution.

For investors, 2025 could be a year of essential choices. Focus on long-term trends, analyze macroeconomic indicators, and diversify your portfolio. History shows that even in times of uncertainty, the market has the potential to grow.

And for years that end in number 7 according to bearish statistics, I will write about this in 2027


Best regards EXCAVO