MARKET GEOMETRY (FRACTALS)
ที่อัปเดต:
So we will continue with our analysis to model the current repeating cycle.
We saw the last time the dynamics of the market cycle from the origin point picked more than a century ago.The 24/08/1987 top was our ending point for the first 1.0 cycle of 1092 months.
We also saw that the low in 1953 was the 0.618 or Phi division within that range being 685 months from the same origin .
We also saw the internal subdivisions perfectly repeating the 391 and 546 months cycles.
We had the midpoint or half point at the 1942 low, the two halves 1896 - 1942 being identical to the 1942 - 1987 half averaging 546 months each. The 1929 recession top arrived on 397 months putting it at equal position with the 1974 bottom.
From the 1.0 ending point in 1987 we would project again a 0.618 extension
Thus 1092.8 * 0.618 = 675.35 units
This 675 months will begin from the 08/1987 point
We then realize that projecting the 391, 546 cycles put the 2020 crash bottom at 391 months.
We realize at first glance a variance of 10 months between 685 and 675.
We also have a difference of 6 months between 397 and 391.
It indicates a variance in progression of Phi... 10 and 6 months
Let us now see the striking dynamics for the repeating cycle
The entire chart that formed within the 1092.8 months cycle will be squeezed into its inverse Phi section of 675 months. The sensitive points on the 1.0 section will be repeating on the 0.618 section as well but with a decomposition ratio. We will represent that on a line
The 1929 top took 397 months, its counterpart in 2007 took 241.5 months
397 * 0.618 = 245.3 units (taking into account the variance on the scale)
This gives us a repeating time ratio of 0.618
2007 picture using QQQ
1929 section
The next and most important is the 1953 point which was on the 0.618 section on the 1.0 scale. it took 685.3 months. It counterpart is the February 2016 low which took 341.5 months from 1987 origin.
685.3 * 1/2 = 342.7 units
This also gives us a ratio of 2 : 1 or 0.5
1949 / 1953 section
Current fractal
The 1953 fractal is a bit elusive but it aligns perfectly well within the entire cycle
This is the 1952/53 correction, lets consider the dates for the tops made within the 10 months correction
Now 2022 fractal
Looking at both charts they made the first high on 5th January
Both made a second top in March and then May and August
Careful observation shows the successive tops in the 2022 correction were 1 week average from the 1953 fractal
Indicating it on a linear scale for comparison
These were the dates for the tops made in both fractal with striking solar harmony
lets add the dates for the bottoms
Both the tops and bottoms are well aligned in the cycles 70 years apart
Now this is the side that followed the correction
Another fractal in 1984 with similar dates for tops and bottoms
This fractal has an overlap where the current position within the cycle overlaps the bottoming pattern of the previous two. We will leave this one for readers to investigate
In the likely event that the cycle will not alternate then market action will see a steady advance from current levels
Until next update, take care.
We saw the last time the dynamics of the market cycle from the origin point picked more than a century ago.The 24/08/1987 top was our ending point for the first 1.0 cycle of 1092 months.
We also saw that the low in 1953 was the 0.618 or Phi division within that range being 685 months from the same origin .
We also saw the internal subdivisions perfectly repeating the 391 and 546 months cycles.
We had the midpoint or half point at the 1942 low, the two halves 1896 - 1942 being identical to the 1942 - 1987 half averaging 546 months each. The 1929 recession top arrived on 397 months putting it at equal position with the 1974 bottom.
From the 1.0 ending point in 1987 we would project again a 0.618 extension
Thus 1092.8 * 0.618 = 675.35 units
This 675 months will begin from the 08/1987 point
We then realize that projecting the 391, 546 cycles put the 2020 crash bottom at 391 months.
We realize at first glance a variance of 10 months between 685 and 675.
We also have a difference of 6 months between 397 and 391.
It indicates a variance in progression of Phi... 10 and 6 months
Let us now see the striking dynamics for the repeating cycle
The entire chart that formed within the 1092.8 months cycle will be squeezed into its inverse Phi section of 675 months. The sensitive points on the 1.0 section will be repeating on the 0.618 section as well but with a decomposition ratio. We will represent that on a line
The 1929 top took 397 months, its counterpart in 2007 took 241.5 months
397 * 0.618 = 245.3 units (taking into account the variance on the scale)
This gives us a repeating time ratio of 0.618
2007 picture using QQQ
1929 section
The next and most important is the 1953 point which was on the 0.618 section on the 1.0 scale. it took 685.3 months. It counterpart is the February 2016 low which took 341.5 months from 1987 origin.
685.3 * 1/2 = 342.7 units
This also gives us a ratio of 2 : 1 or 0.5
1949 / 1953 section
Current fractal
The 1953 fractal is a bit elusive but it aligns perfectly well within the entire cycle
This is the 1952/53 correction, lets consider the dates for the tops made within the 10 months correction
Now 2022 fractal
Looking at both charts they made the first high on 5th January
Both made a second top in March and then May and August
Careful observation shows the successive tops in the 2022 correction were 1 week average from the 1953 fractal
Indicating it on a linear scale for comparison
These were the dates for the tops made in both fractal with striking solar harmony
lets add the dates for the bottoms
Both the tops and bottoms are well aligned in the cycles 70 years apart
Now this is the side that followed the correction
Another fractal in 1984 with similar dates for tops and bottoms
This fractal has an overlap where the current position within the cycle overlaps the bottoming pattern of the previous two. We will leave this one for readers to investigate
In the likely event that the cycle will not alternate then market action will see a steady advance from current levels
Until next update, take care.
บันทึก
Update on the advance ... next top expected at 40706 level, However we have a minor top that come in at/around 39550 - 39685 level
Trade safe, good luck
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