#replay 69 - Period Analysis

14 ส.ค. 2022

Let's have the time analysis on the fall from 2021 Nov 10.

I set the swing high/low of minor uptrend/downtrend as endpoints of each period. However, it's not pretty relevant of each dumping/rising. But we can see that more time for pumping comes with more time for dumping.

We still have some analysis in this post. Post later.

14 ส.ค. 2022

บันทึก

If we combine some minor trends, we can see that a better view over the trend. Pumping time is slightly shorter than dumping one. If we just do some math here, we expected that shift would occur on Aug 21-26, which are same dumping period as before and calc the ratio of dumping/pumping periods (~1.19).

I'm not saying this WILL happen on those days, but providing a view. We don't have much data on this, so just took a note.

14 ส.ค. 2022

บันทึก

Bearish flag. For past two patterns, each has 5 endpoints. But now it breaks the "rule". The latest bearish flag has more than 5 points. With that we can say the accumulation is occurring. We can say it will go up or down after the bearish flag from this point, but the longer it accumulates, the harsh the trend will be.

Also, it's still a bearish flag, so expected it to be go down harshly in near future.

14 ส.ค. 2022

บันทึก

P.S. this is bearish flag analysis cannot be pretty good since the periods of past two patterns are not close.