BTC is Ready to break Your Dreams!

everything is on the chart, I think we are waiting for a capitulation to $ 17,000- $ 24,000 70% probability, or we will break through $ 53,000 and go to $ 80,000 + the probability of this scenario is 30%.
according to the indicators, I see that the market is overheated very much (assets such as SOLANA, ADA, FTM) remind me of MATIC at the end of May when MATIC fell from $ 2.7 to $ 0.7, as well as bullish sentiment on twitter frightens me.

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48k$ biggest support , here is trendline, if we broke this then guys this will be fast road to 30k

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in my opinion price will find bottom near dashed red line in may for this bear market (16k-18k may be sqeezing till 12k)