We have definitively witnessed some interesting action in the last couple hours (and also during the last couple of days). Let's have a look at the 4H chart.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/RmuWkqKo/[\image]
All through yesterday, BTC was wrestling with the support of the ascending triangle (that I mentioned in my previous post). In the past 24 hours, - the price came down all the way to the 50-period (4H) SMA (green curve); - quickly spiked to the 12,100 level; - got rejected at the 12,100 level; - dropped back to the .618 Fib; and, finally - bounced back, to find support at the to the21-period (4H) SMA/EMA (red and blue curve).
When I up, the prices was just over 12,000 and I decided to close my long position (based on gut feeling). => I wrote an update to my previous post, but somehow, the text doesn't show (except for "Quick update!", which is kinda worthless...) => I re-entered a long position, in the 11,600 - 11,700 area.
There's a few thoughts I want to share with you guys:
- Despite the volatility of the last 24 hours, the ascending triangle is till valid (in my opinion).
- Mark that (in the course of the last week) BTC has (in this order) tested the .236, .382, .5 and .618 Fib levels (the 4 blue rectangles).
- BTC is currently resting on the 21-period (4H) SMA and EMA (~11,730), with the .786 (11,770) nearby. If BTC van manage a few candle closes above these levels, this may become a solid primary support zone. => The area of confluence of the 50-period (4H) SMA (11,540) and the .618 Fib (11,511) would then be a secondary support zone.
- So far, we got rejected twice at the 12,100 level. However, the uptrend that started after the first rejection is still intact. This observation, together with the "fact" that BTC's price typically breaks a (strong) level of resistance at or after the 3 (re-)test, makes me believe that a break of the 12,100 level is possible in the short/medium term.
Therefore, I remain bullish! ___________________________________________________________________________________________________
OPINION (unchanged): BULLISH
ANALYSIS (updated): ----------------------------- See above
We have definitively witnessed some interesting action in the last couple hours (and also during the last couple of days). Let's have a look at the 4H chart.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/RmuWkqKo/[\image]
All through yesterday, BTC was wrestling with the support of the ascending triangle (that I mentioned in my previous post). In the past 24 hours, - the price came down all the way to the 50-period (4H) SMA (green curve); - quickly spiked to the 12,100 level; - got rejected at the 12,100 level; - dropped back to the .618 Fib; and, finally - bounced back, to find support at the to the21-period (4H) SMA/EMA (red and blue curve).
When I up, the prices was just over 12,000 and I decided to close my long position (based on gut feeling). => I wrote an update to my previous post, but somehow, the text doesn't show (except for "Quick update!", which is kinda worthless...) => I re-entered a long position, in the 11,600 - 11,700 area.
There's a few thoughts I want to share with you guys:
- Despite the volatility of the last 24 hours, the ascending triangle is till valid (in my opinion).
- Mark that (in the course of the last week) BTC has (in this order) tested the .236, .382, .5 and .618 Fib levels (the 4 blue rectangles).
- BTC is currently resting on the 21-period (4H) SMA and EMA (~11,730), with the .786 (11,770) nearby. If BTC van manage a few candle closes above these levels, this may become a solid primary support zone. => The area of confluence of the 50-period (4H) SMA (11,540) and the .618 Fib (11,511) would then be a secondary support zone.
- So far, we got rejected twice at the 12,100 level. However, the uptrend that started after the first rejection is still intact. This observation, together with the "fact" that BTC's price typically breaks a (strong) level of resistance at or after the 3 (re-)test, makes me believe that a break of the 12,100 level is possible in the short/medium term.
Therefore, I remain bullish! ___________________________________________________________________________________________________
OPINION (unchanged): BULLISH
ANALYSIS (updated): ----------------------------- See above
บันทึกช่วยจำ
Guys,
there's something very weird going on with TV. It cuts my text after just few sentences.