Bitcoin drew an ascending triangle, + 4 touches of the descending line of the trend. If you look at the book, there is almost all 100%that the price will go up. If not according to the book, now a bearish trend, in such cases, figures rarely work as it should.
He also looked at many other ideas, mostly wait for the exit, the market works against the majority. I would rate 50/50 where the price will go. If you buy cue ball, then a small % of the deposit.