bull or bear. I think a dip before a run, but also think I wrong

The light yellow fib has been catching tops as outlined in black. We broke through this as outlined with a "!". I predicted chop for awhile. Everyone is saying it'll go up, but I'm seeing signs of a dip before hand. For example we just got rejected off the 100 ema on the 4 hr. Are my ideas shit?

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Sorry I guess we got support from the 100 EMA. That drastically changes my outlook. still an odd feeling about a big breakout