The worst third scenario is added. It's good if the first one is implemented, but I'm still more inclined to the second one. After bitcoin reaches the level of about 31-27K, I am waiting for a reversal. The reversal point of the local trend is in May (approx). The same date has been moved to two other charts: litecoin and ethereum.
The first rule of a cryptocurrency trader: the price of altcoins (and shitcoins, of course) is always expressed in bitcoin! No dollars or other fiat currencies.