BTC/USD Secondary trend (part). Medium term work.
ที่อัปเดต:
Further development of the local trading situation. Timeframe 1 day.
Local positive scenario.
If the support zone 17,666 is held and the local downtrend breaks (cherry color), then the Dragon pattern may form. There is a buyout. There is volume.
The percentage is shown on the chart in cases of breakout/non-breakthrough of local resistance levels.
A local channel of 24% can also form, like the last time before working out the descending flag, that is, the market drains if the local maximum is not broken, that is, the “Dragon's hump”.
This is how it looks on a line chart (without “market noise”, squeezes) with the same timeframe.
Negative scenario.
The negative scenario that everyone is waiting for (this is very important). Breakout of the support zone 17,666. There is a "local gap -30%". The first stops are 13,130 - 11,582. The percentage is not big for other assets, but bitcoin is the "market" brand + liquidity. The impact on the crypto market will be huge. Complete surrender.
If this happens, then it will not be connected with the crypto market, but will be like an echo of the consequences.
A simple short work, at the beginning of the stop above the broken support and from time to time its lowering after the price decline, but so that the stop loss is not hit ahead of time.
Timeframe 1 week. The entire cycle of this Bitcoin growth (almost 2 years, 616 days).
Due to the fact that the timeframe is 1 week, some dates are not accurate. The chart shows part of the main trend and the entire secondary (downward channel). This local zone in it is marked with a circle.
From the maximum pumping, the price has merged at the moment by -74 (72%).
Local positive scenario.
If the support zone 17,666 is held and the local downtrend breaks (cherry color), then the Dragon pattern may form. There is a buyout. There is volume.
The percentage is shown on the chart in cases of breakout/non-breakthrough of local resistance levels.
A local channel of 24% can also form, like the last time before working out the descending flag, that is, the market drains if the local maximum is not broken, that is, the “Dragon's hump”.
This is how it looks on a line chart (without “market noise”, squeezes) with the same timeframe.
Negative scenario.
The negative scenario that everyone is waiting for (this is very important). Breakout of the support zone 17,666. There is a "local gap -30%". The first stops are 13,130 - 11,582. The percentage is not big for other assets, but bitcoin is the "market" brand + liquidity. The impact on the crypto market will be huge. Complete surrender.
If this happens, then it will not be connected with the crypto market, but will be like an echo of the consequences.
A simple short work, at the beginning of the stop above the broken support and from time to time its lowering after the price decline, but so that the stop loss is not hit ahead of time.
Timeframe 1 week. The entire cycle of this Bitcoin growth (almost 2 years, 616 days).
Due to the fact that the timeframe is 1 week, some dates are not accurate. The chart shows part of the main trend and the entire secondary (downward channel). This local zone in it is marked with a circle.
From the maximum pumping, the price has merged at the moment by -74 (72%).
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Local positive scenario.
A double bottom formed locally. Confirmations of it are fixations above this level. At the beginning of the downward movement (purple). Then, in cases of its breakthrough on the volume to the main resistance zone (previous clamping before draining), it is marked in gray. This will be the death of short positions.
Volume boost.
The volume has increased. On some liquid exchanges, there is a "huge volume" for the chart (for example, binance). Then there will be a PR "whale bought" or "whale sold" depending on how the price should be directed.
Local negative scenario.
Mirror repetition of clamping as the end of May-June before draining. Sideways movement. That is, a locally downward movement to the zone 17,666
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On 13 07 22 in America, a report on the situation on the inflation rate for the last month (decrease / increase) will be released, respectively, and this will be the reaction of the markets / Last 10 06 2022 which caused this local drain by -40.4%. First the stock market, then bitcoin and altcoins.
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It is also worth noting that the main FUD manipulator of the crypto market, Elon Musk, has changed the number of subscribers from 114 to 115 today.
July 13—Full Moon (13 07 2022 inflation report)
July 28—New Moon (27 07 2022 Fed rate decision)
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Similarly, the direction of bitcoin (the resolution of this local situation) will be followed by altos, but by a larger%, this must be understood.
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+23.8% from 19,666
The price reached the level of 24358.03
It is possible without fractions, rounding the value. But maybe in unimportant great importance?
Pay attention to how the number of subscribers of the main media manipulator of the crypto market Elon Musk has changed:
114 In the channel, in the lateral horizontal clamping, there was always 114.
115 Before the breakdown and during it - 115.
116 Now the value is 116.
At the moment, the price is at the resistance of the downtrend (purple, the price has fallen since May 2022 (the first fall of the moon). Remember the important date 27 07 2022. Protect your profits
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On the chart, I displayed the signal transactions of the "fresh" wallet of almost $ 3 billion of the Big Six and the "signals" with the number of Elon's subscriptions in the Mask.
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The US Federal Reserve raised the interest rate by 75 basis points (0.75%). Now the rate is 2.5%. There were no surprises in the hanging rate, the figure was the same as before.
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Price in a tight price squeeze before a big move
4 08 2022 transaction low 19837.
Musk's tweet 8 hours ago "Rocket at launch". twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1555794448826900480
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Transactions 11 08 22 (on the graph above).
8226
4151
20610
11 after 666
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Replenishment translations 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNvEyfrEkPHzSsCd :
16 08 2022 322 BTC
17 08 2022 118 BTC
18 08 2022 0.0009500 BTC 220 BTC 1 BTC
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Musk public marketing guide changed 121 subscriptions (very rare).
Recharge transfers 1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNVEyfrEkPHzSsCd :
2022-08-22 13:18 714 BTC
2022-08-23 16:10 165 BTC
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Local work.
Clamped in a super tight 3.22% range 6 days before the impulse to collect stop loss.
19666 - 20300, which is the 20610 zone (11 08 2022 - 11/666/20610).
The percentages to the local levels are shown on the chart.
1LQoWist8KkaUXSPKZHNVEyfrEkPHzSsCd
August +3072 BTC
2022 08 29 - +1153 BTC
2022 08 30 - +97 BTC
2022 08 31 - 0.0008 BTC
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