We present to your attention the analysis of the last 2 #Bitcoin growth cycles and the forecast for the beginning of the bear cycle.
The data demonstrated a surprising coincidence of numbers: - the bull cycle (the growth of the asset from the minimum quote, to which the asset has not returned) is 1050 days on average. - the bear cycle consists of 365 days on average.
At the same time, with each cycle, the depth of the asset correction also decreases: - 2017/2018 loss of 85% of the value of Bitcoin and 95% of Ether. - 2021/2022 loss of 75% of the value of Bitcoin and 80% of Ether.
Our conservative forecast for the value of Bitcoin is 150,000. A positive forecast, in the event of the adoption of the "Law on the Strategic Reserve" - 250,000.