บิทคอยน์เพิ่มขึ้น
Long BTCUSD
ที่อัปเดต:
Although I was bearish with this pair, time has proven that I was wrong. This pair has already broken up.
You may ask: why is the volume so low? Is it a false breakout?
From my point of view, I think it is due to the fact that we are still in a bear market. In a bear market, retailed traders are mostly bearish. Even when they saw a breakout, they tended to think it might be a false breakout because of their pessimistic sentiment.Therefore, even a breakout from a downtrend line indicating the change of trend cannot easily change the whole market sentiment from bearish to bullish. The change of sentiment requires some time. However, as a technical trader, I will buy it because it has really broken up. What I expect in the next few trading weeks is that the volume and the volatility will slightly increase.
The volatility is always related to the market sentiment. The market sentiment mainly describes the sentiment of retailed traders, but not the smart money. In 2018 , it is obvious that the volatility is decreasing, which means the market sentiment has changed from extremely bearish to slightly bearish. Also, the price haven't made a new low to $5000 or $4000, but stayed above $6000. Now, the price has also broken the strong resistance line which give me confidence to buy bitcoin and I think the smart money has been buying bitcoins as well.
You may ask: why is the volume so low? Is it a false breakout?
From my point of view, I think it is due to the fact that we are still in a bear market. In a bear market, retailed traders are mostly bearish. Even when they saw a breakout, they tended to think it might be a false breakout because of their pessimistic sentiment.Therefore, even a breakout from a downtrend line indicating the change of trend cannot easily change the whole market sentiment from bearish to bullish. The change of sentiment requires some time. However, as a technical trader, I will buy it because it has really broken up. What I expect in the next few trading weeks is that the volume and the volatility will slightly increase.
The volatility is always related to the market sentiment. The market sentiment mainly describes the sentiment of retailed traders, but not the smart money. In 2018 , it is obvious that the volatility is decreasing, which means the market sentiment has changed from extremely bearish to slightly bearish. Also, the price haven't made a new low to $5000 or $4000, but stayed above $6000. Now, the price has also broken the strong resistance line which give me confidence to buy bitcoin and I think the smart money has been buying bitcoins as well.
ปิดการเทรด ด้วยตนเอง
unfortunately
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