1. If we break the downtrendline and close above likely above 10.5k we will see a runup to 12K-14K levels and have a correction down to downtrend line and wick down probably to 9k-8k. Difference of now and last 2015 was it easily breach the downtrend line. right now it's having a hard time, and work to do it. Well, Let's see what will happen in the next few days/weeks.
2. If we can't break 10.5k anytime soon, this would likely be a distribution that would lead to slow bleed and dump to 6k levels til' end of Q3.