PHASE 1 #week1.march

매매일지..

아직 PHASE 1 이 끝나지 않은듯..

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Note



Not scaling margin long here since there is no clear direction.
I was bet downside, but market behavior doesnt seems normal at all. Lots of absorption near local range high. Seeing many prints usdt,usdc,busd started. Not sure if btc drop off correation from asset market this time while dxy pump , stonks down.

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Bought more spot btc

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thought its following yellow path to end correction,
but there is too many absorption on this range.
black path to 70k in a month prob.

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also Alts seems reclaim, and having extra demand in market.

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더 많은 조정을 하려고 했다면이 HVN (대용량 노드)이 저항으로 유지 되었을 것입니다.
그러나 BTC는 POC 와 HVN 위에 있습니다.
CB, Binance, FTX 등 다양한 거래소에서 여전히 많은 흡수가 진행되고 있습니다.
나는 이것이 다음 상승 후 PHASE 2 를 위한 조정시 레인지 low 가 될 것이라고 생각합니다.
70k ish-> 조정-> 47.7 ish bottom

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ETH confluence

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Spot Vol.
　Buy: $61.8M
　Sell: $76M

Derivs Vol.
　Buy: $339.8M
　Sell: $449.9M

USDT Vol.
　Buy: $14.7M
　Sell: $16.6M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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slow and steady. small vertical accumulation it seems.

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everyone yallin for HNS which make sense.
but see the volume, where is started re accumulated.
above POC, HVN seems super strong.
i reckon btc will damm on HNS traders,
it will keep clime slow and Alts could run high while btc in vertical accumulation.

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any pullback we face will be ugly (terms of shake out) i believe.

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many alts still looking good to go

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $51,452

Spot Vol.
　Buy: $203M
　Sell: $165.6M

Derivs Vol.
　Buy: $974M
　Sell: $965M

USDT Vol.
　Buy: $26.6M
　Sell: $27M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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btc consolidate downward , eth/btc bounce, btc grind up, eth usd rise hard

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RE:
any pullback we face will be ugly (terms of shake out) i believe.

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holding spots, will see if i should open hedge up there. no sow yet

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note
price discovery in asset market is stronger than we can expect.

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cosmos,eth,xtz

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us market opened, bond rising

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thu- nothing changed it seems

Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $50,929

Spot Vol.
　Buy: $129.3M
　Sell: $161.9M

Derivs Vol.
　Buy: $958.4M
　Sell: $973.7M

USDT Vol.
　Buy: $19.1M
　Sell: $18.5M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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little deviation on spot volume but nothing major

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Eos, Link, Xtz, Xrp seems good for today.
haven't made back to neckline

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btc dominance, money flow to alt while btc in vertical accumulation.

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RE:RE
any pullback we face will be ugly (terms of shake out) i believe.

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poc moved from 48.6ish to 48.7ish with "shake out".
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $49,100

Spot Vol.
　Buy: $189.2M
　Sell: $223.5M

Derivs Vol.
　Buy: $1.5B
　Sell: $1.8B

USDT Vol.
　Buy: $32.8M
　Sell: $36.4M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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I will only consider short when market shows sow, price back below poc.

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44-45 is next orderblocks where potentially build another poc.

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below weekly vwap

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below poc, if btc don't reclaim 48k ish today, its in trouble with new resistance above

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alts breakdown to previous tr

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bounce on 45-45k or we break down

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consolidate near poc, above poc now, no signs of weakness.
some news pop up and shoot up?
paypal ? apple? amazon ? ;)

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note

expansion market, will market give you good opportunity as you wish? how far this market correlated to asset market such as spx, nq1 , gold, silver and interest rate of bonds? how many times have we back tested in such as expansion market? you should def do your own risk management, but yeah this is new market that entering price discovery.

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40mil confirmation on wallet, 4-5k jump.

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10yrs bond rates rise, dxy pump and btc pump ?
is btc approved as new currency that can hedge existing asset?

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nothing new, compressing near poc, above daily open.
accumulation more likely , + finex premiums.

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if btc going back below poc,
i won't hesitate to open a short position untill it fills the liquidity void.

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3.3R setup on wknd fuxkery

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adjusted stop , tp include 25x liquidity

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1530-1575 ETH

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47.7-48.3 BTC

then we might have green week ahead.

ปิดการเทรด: ถึงเป้าหมายการทำกำไร

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note.

The market doesn't show the polarization of the world we live in.
An environment is being created in which gambling can only be made easier.
Is short selling really bad?
Short selling without chime is problem.
But in the market, balance is most important that can define value of company.
You can't buy without a seller.

The market on the seesaw.

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march week 2 trading journal on private posting.
dm me if you want to keep it posted coming week.
( sure its free, just wanna see who is getting idea )