Earnings Vs Chart Patterns: Agree Reality-ADC: An Update
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Disclaimer: I am not affiliated with-ADC in any way. I have been long the stock, and added to my position.
I am always interested in the chart patterns that I review. Do they forecast the news, or does the news forecast the chart patterns? Three days ago I alerted all that ADC-was to release its earnings on 07-25-16. Here is what the company did in the latest quarter: On 7/25/2016, ADC reported 2nd quarter 2016 non-GAAP earnings of $0.48 per share. This result beat the $0.37 consensus of the 4 analysts covering the company and beat last year's 2nd quarter results by 26.32%. Total Rental Revenue---Total rental revenue, which includes minimum rents and percentage rents, for the three months ended June 30, 2016 increased 23.6% to $19.9 million, compared to total rental revenue of $16.1 million for the comparable period in 2015. Total rental revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2016 increased 25.8% to $38.6 million, compared to total rental revenue of $30.7 million for the comparable period in 2015. Funds from Operations---FFO for the three months ended June 30, 2016 increased 23.8% to $13.8 million, compared to FFO of $11.1 million for the comparable period in 2015. Dividend---The Company paid a cash dividend of $0.48 per share on July 15, 2016 to stockholders of record on June 30, 2016, a 3.2% increase over the $0.465 quarterly dividend declared in the second quarter of 2015.
Now I think this is a great release, BUT, the stock did retrace about 2% in the two day period after the earnings release. Buy on rumor, sell on news? Who knows? Personally, I look for extremely strong chart patterns, BUT, I do my fundamental homework also. I used the 2% draw-down as an opportunity to add to my position. I think this issue will continue to be strong on a technical basis - and with interest rates so low, and ADC-raising its dividend (to almost 4%), there are a lot of things going well for-ADC. This is a stock that I want to be long. How about another quote from Alfred E. Neuman? "A plastic surgeon's office the only place where no one gets offended when you pick your nose!"