AAPL OPEX Nightmare coming again?

12 ส.ค. 2013

Blue Vertical lines are weekly Options Expiration (OPEX). Red are monthly OPEX. Yellow is Quarterly OPEX. Choosing the 'sane' high value for that month and taking it to the non-weekly opex date shows a pretty clear pattern of AAPL getting quite beat up on Fridays. Based on this pattern, and an average drop of %6.22 off of the high's, I'm throwing a SWAG of 445-ish closing price on Friday. Lots of retail investors betting on options, and Big Money (or MM's) will pin the price to make many call options expire worthless.