S50H25 , 1h , 25/02/2025### **Analysis of S50H25 Chart (25 Feb 2025, 23:00)**
#### **1. Trend Analysis (BB 104 0.1)**
- **BB 104 0.1 Upper Band:** 811.6
- **BB 104 0.1 Lower Band:** 807.7
- **Current Price (C):** 765.5
The price is **well below BB 104 0.1 (lower band at 807.7)**, indicating that the market is in a **strong downtrend** based on your DS Strategy.
#### **2. Positioning in Bollinger Bands (BB 20)**
- **BB 20 Middle Band (BB 20 0.2 MB):** 782.4
- **BB 20 Lower Band 1 (LB1):** 778.9
- **BB 20 Lower Band 2 (LB2):** 763.1
- **Current Price:** 765.5
The price is currently in the **Channel LB12 zone** (between LB1: 778.9 and LB2: 763.1), which confirms a short-term downtrend. **A reversal signal would occur only if the price cuts above LB1 (778.9).**
#### **3. DMI Analysis**
- **+DI (Green):** 11.5141
- **-DI (Red):** 25.4179
- **ADX:** 36.1473
- **-DI is above +DI**, meaning sellers are in control.
- **ADX is above 25**, indicating a strong trend.
This further supports that the **downtrend is strong** and there is no immediate sign of reversal.
#### **4. Position Strategy**
##### **Entry Consideration (Long)**
- **No entry yet** because:
- Price **has not cut above LB1 (778.9)**.
- Downtrend remains strong based on BB 104 0.1 and DMI.
- LB2 (763.1) is close, but waiting for confirmation is safer.
##### **Scaling Strategy**
- If a **reversal signal** occurs (price cuts above LB1: 778.9), the first position size should be **reduced** due to the strong downtrend.
- **DMI confirms trend strength**, so **if entering, initial position should be at 1/3 (33.33%) of full size** and scale in only if the trend improves.
#### **Conclusion**
- **Market is in a strong downtrend.**
- **No buy signal yet** (must wait for price to cut above LB1: 778.9).
- **Entry strategy:** If reversal occurs, **start with 1/3 position size** and scale in cautiously.
- **Risk management:** Stop loss should be around **LB2 (763.1) or slightly below**.
